Thursday, December 13, 2007

If predicting weather is that difficult . . .

There is a very good and short opinion article in Florida' s Herald Tribune yesterday, I would like to reprint it here in its entirety because it expressed my thought totally and there is no need to add any more of my own comments, my two thumbs up for the author, Jim Travers of North Port:
If predicting weather is that difficult . . .

Well, the hype for the 2008 hurricane season has begun. No sooner did the 2007 hurricane season and forecast bust than we have next season's fearless forecast. If the experts keep forecasting an active season, sooner or later they'll get it right.

The variables involved in such forecasts are so complicated and difficult to predict that one makes long-range forecasts at one's own risk.

If it's so difficult to forecast 12 months in advance, how are we to have any faith in the long-term predictions for global warming? But I guess it doesn't matter, since few of us will be around to see how these dire predictions turn out.

Jim Travers

North Port

Last modified: December 12. 2007 12:00AM

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